TREND AND FUNCTIONAL ANALYSIS OF SUGARCANE AND SUGAR IN KARNATAKA STATE

GANESHGOUDA I. PATIL¹*, S.B. MAHAJANASHETTI², SOMANAGOUDA I. PATIL^3
1Department of Agricultural Economics, College of Horticulture, Bidar, 585 403, University of Horticultural Sciences, Bagalkot, Karnataka 587104, India
²Department of AgriBusiness Management, University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad, Karnataka 580005, India
³Department of AgriBusiness Management, University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad, Karnataka 580005, India
* Corresponding Author : ganeshpatil.phd@gmail.com

Received : 25-10-2016     Accepted : 12-12-2016     Published : 18-12-2016
Volume : 8     Issue : 61       Pages : 3423 - 3427
Int J Agr Sci 8.61 (2016):3423-3427

Keywords : Sugar, Sugarcane, Trend and functional analysis
Conflict of Interest : None declared
Acknowledgements/Funding : The research (thesis) work was conducted in Ph. D degree programme under the guidance of Dr. S. B. Mahanajashetti, (Professor) during 2014-15 in the department of Agri-Business Management, University of Agricultural Sciences, Dharwad-580 005, Karnataka, India
Author Contribution : Dr. Ganeshgouda I. Patil, undertaken research work, data collection, analysis and paper writing; Dr. S. B. Mahajanashetti, Chairmen, assisted in analysis and paper writing; Mr. Somanagouda I. Patil, Assisted in data collection and analysis of the Data

The study was undertaken to analyses the trend and functional analysis of sugarcane production, sugarcane supplies to the factory, sugarcane price and sugar price in the Karnataka state. The data required for the study relating to the area, production and productivity of sugarcane, sugarcane price, sugar price, gur prices, installed capacity, rainfall, levy percent of sugar, SMP were sourced from cooperative sugar publications, DES, Bangalore and indiastats.com from 1985-86 to 2012-13. The data were analysed by using trend equations, multiple regressions, two-stage simultaneous equations and growth rate analysis. The results of the study found that, the sugarcane prices, factory supplies of sugarcane, sugar prices and sugarcane production were increasing trends with highly significant growth rates (8.39 %, 6.29 %, 5.48 % and 2.10 %, respectively) and also showed higher instabilities (66.54 %, 58.83 %, 49.96 % and 31.12 %, respectively) in the study period. These fluctuations were due to cyclical nature of sugarcane production which usually happens once in 2-3 years i.e. two year surplus production followed by deficit production of cane and also due to changing government policies like levy obligations, quarterly or monthly sugar release mechanism, influence of state government advisory price and export and import restrictions etc.